So now we know: Europe will be roiled by internal turmoil for
another five years. While Germany,Explore online some of the many
available selections in floor tiles. France and others wrestle to build a stronger core Europe around the eurozone,Bottle cutters let you turn old glass mosaic
and wine bottles into bottle art! David Cameron's Conservatives, if
elected in 2015, will try to renegotiate the terms of Britain's
membership in the whole EU club and then put that "new settlement" to
the British people in an "in or out" referendum by the end of 2017.
World,
you have been warned. Europe as an economic giant? Yes, still. Europe
as a strong force in a new multipolar world? Postponed to the Greek
calends – and now to the British ones as well. Whether you are watching
from India, China, Russia, America or Brazil, you can forget that
prospect for the foreseeable future.Our team of consultants are skilled
in project management and delivery of large scale rtls projects. In fact, most people in those countries already have.
But
first, what of the speech itself? Well, it could have been a lot
worse. As a pro-European who has argued that Britain should hold an "in
or out" referendum in the next parliament, once the shape of
eurozone-Europe and the results of any attempted renegotiation of the
terms of Britain's membership are known, I can hardly complain if the
British prime minister plumps for exactly that. While much of the
phrasing was patently crafted to please Eurosceptics, some of his
criticisms of today's EU are also justified.
Above all, the
peroration of the speech was as clear, eloquent and forceful an
argument for Britain staying in the EU, on clearsighted, hard-nosed
Palmerstonian grounds of national interest, as you could hope to hear
from a leader of today's Conservative party. Those last minutes,
between about 8.35am and 8.45am London time, confirmed me in a view
that I have taken against nervous British pro-Europeans for some time:
when it comes to the point, the British people will vote to stay in the
EU.
Yet they also confirmed the futility of this entire
strategy. For those basic arguments of national interest for Britain to
stay in the EU will remain true, however paltry the results of any
formal renegotiation after 2015. In fact, since Europe is a permanent
negotiation,Panasonic ventilation system
fans are energy efficient and whisper quiet. Britain would get a
better deal if it remained fully involved and committed all the time.
If
other EU member states agree on nothing else, they agree on this:
Britain should not be given any major new exceptions from the rules of
the whole club. Now they will concede even less. If EU politics were a
game of bridge, Cameron has just effectively thrown away his strongest
ace: the credible threat of Britain leaving. Germany and other
free-market north Europeans would not really want to be left alone with
the southerners. Even France would be ambivalent, since Britain is the
only other European country with a serious tradition of projecting hard
power – as most recently in Libya.
It's also bad for Europe.
Some of the good reforms Cameron is preaching at continental Europeans
are now even less likely to happen since, whatever he says, our
partners all feel that he is batting for Britain not for Europe. In a
rare and revealing stumble by this otherwise accomplished speaker, when
he was arguing for his preferred option of a new reform treaty for the
whole of the EU, he said: "But if there is no appetite for a new
treaty for us [pause, stumble] … for us all." Freudian slip or
Thatcherite one: that's what most continental Europeans think he
subconsciously means.
And yet, even though it would have been
better for Europe to carry on without this added diversion to the core
problems of the whole project, a referendum would have come sooner or
later anyway. With the stakes raised like this, it will be hard for
other parties to refuse the British people a direct choice. As a nice
Polish phrase has it: we have to swallow this frog.
Meanwhile,
the world will yawn its way through five more years of euroshemozzle.
And it will deal with Europe as it finds it: economic giant, political
hydra-head.
Like Reading Lolita in Tehran, watching Cameron in
Mumbai has been a surreal experience. Here I am, surrounded by the
afterlife of British colonialism at its most grandiloquent – the
monumental Gateway to India, built in Bombay harbour to celebrate the
visit of the King-Emperor George V in 1911, colonial-style tearooms
fluttering with now Indian talk of "tiffin" and "chaps". And there, on
the television screen, a hundred years later, is a vaguely viceregal
British prime minister who nonetheless feels it necessary to explain,
to what was once the party of empire, why Britain really should not opt
to be an offshore Switzerland, a Norway without the oil or the Greater
Cayman Islands.
And the Indians, those at the top of the pile
who are now prosperous and sophisticated representatives of one of the
21st-century's great emerging powers, how do they view this distant
political gymkhana? Mainly not at all. Indian acquaintances confirm my
impression that the speech did not make the news bulletins of the main
local channels. Indians have their own politics to worry about, and
their own problems: India's poverty makes hard-hit Greece look like
paradise. But beyond that, they view Britain's agonising about its place
in the world with mixed feelings.
One hears of a liking for
London as a place to live and do business; of admiration for UK
universities (if only the Cameron government's misbegotten student visa
squeeze does not prevent their children studying there); of some
attachment to British traditions of literature, good government and
common law (a shipping merchant here tells me he makes contracts with
Chinese partners under English law).
But there is absolutely no
echo of the neo-Tory idea that a strategic special relationship
between Britain and India, Britain and the whole Commonwealth, could be
any substitute for Britain's place in Europe, and India's relationship
with Europe as a whole. India, like Britain, will pursue its own
national interest, starting in its own neighbourhood. If Cameron
doesn't know that already,We can supply howo truck products as below. he will hear it again on his planned second official visit to India next month.
Ultimately
the point is this. History has dealt Britain an amazing hand. Though a
shadow of its former imperial self, the country has unique ties to
Europe, to the United States, to the rest of the English-speaking
world, and to quite a few other places (for instance, in Latin America)
as well: spades, hearts, diamonds and clubs. Who but an idiot would
throw away one of his (or her) strongest suits? And we Brits are not
idiots, are we? Are we?
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